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Free AccessMNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - AUD/JPY Finds Bottom on China News
MNI US OPEN - PBOC Makes First Major Policy Tweak Since 2011
MNI China Daily Summary: Tuesday, October 15
DATA: China's September inflation touched the 3% official government
ceiling, the fastest in almost six years, as costs of food led by pork soared.
The price of China's most consumed meat surged 69.3% y/y, picking up from 46.7%
in August. Food costs contributed 1.65 percentage points to CPI. Meanwhile,
factory-gate inflation fell further to -1.2% y/y from August's 0.8% drop,
hitting the lowest level since August 2016.
DATA: China's M2 rose 8.4% y/y last month, up from 8.2% in August and also
the market consensus. Aggregate financing to the economy rose to a three-month
high of CNY2.27 trillion, beating the CNY1.9 trillion forecast and up from
CNY1.98 trillion in August. New loans totaled CNY1.69 trillion, an eight-month
high, more than the CNY1.36 trillion projection and up from CNY1.21 trillion in
August.
LIQUIDITY: The People's Bank of China (PBOC) skipped open market operations
(OMOs), leaving liquidity unchanged as no reverse repos matured, according to
Wind Information. The total liquidity in the banking system is reasonable and
ample, the PBOC said.
The PBOC conducted the first phase of targeted reserve requirement ratio
(RRR) cut by 0.5 pp for city commercial banks, a move expected to release CNY40
billion long-term funds, according to a statement on the PBOC website. The
second 0.5 pp cut will take place on Nov 15, according PBOC's statement on Sept
6.
RATES: The seven-day weighted average interbank repo rate for depository
institutions (DR007) increased to 2.6932% from Monday's close of 2.6523%, Wind
Information showed. The overnight repo average rose to 2.7055% from Monday's
2.5602%.
YUAN: The yuan weakened to 7.0778 against the dollar from Monday's close of
7.0669. The PBOC set the dollar-yuan central parity rate stronger at 7.0708,
compared with 7.0725 on Monday.
BONDS: The yield on 10-year China Government Bonds was last at 3.1625%, up
from the close of 3.1600% on Monday, according to Wind Information.
STOCKS: The Shanghai Composite Index edged down 0.56% to 2,991.05. Hong
Kong's Hang Seng Index decreased 0.07% to 26,503.93.
FROM THE PRESS: Depreciation pressure on the Chinese yuan has eased and
there is evidence that the currency could solidify, China Securities Journal
said in a front-page commentary. The yuan is now showing appreciation momentum
as the yuan-dollar pair has been stronger than the central parity of the yuan
against dollar, in addition to the dollar index, it said. Meanwhile, sentiment
on the yuan has also improved amid positive expectations on the trade
environment and China's economic performance in Q4, the newspaper said.
The economic symposium hosted by Chinese Premier Li Keqiang on Monday sent
a signal that China needs to attach greater importance to stabilising economic
growth, 21st Century Business Herald reported. In a bid to buoy growth in Q4,
local governments are trying to accelerate investment in next-generation
information infrastructure, the development of integrated circuits, and the
construction of key projects in addition to boosting consumption, the newspaper
said.
Chinese pork prices are expected to gradually decline next year as pig
production recovers, Economic Daily reported citing Zhu Zengyong, a deputy
researcher at the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences. The releases of pork
reserves and increased pork imports have helped to slow the growth of pork
prices in September, the newspaper said. Pork imports were 1.16 million tones in
the first eight months, up 40.4% y/y, the newspaper added.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.