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Free AccessMNI DATA IMPACT: UK Still Shopping Despite Brexit Gloom>
By Laurie Laird, Les Commons and Irene Prihoda
LONDON (MNI) - UK consumers appeared undaunted by Brexit
uncertainty through July, as retail sales far outpaced expectations.
The following are the key points from retail sales data
published Thursday by the Office for National Statistics.
- British consumers continued to splash out in July, countering
corporate caution ahead of Brexit, providing arguably the only ray of
light in a slowing economy.
- Retail sales rose by a modest 0.2% in July, confounding
forecasts of a 0.2% decline. Growth over the three months to July
slowed to 0.5%, the slowest pace since December, but remained in the
black.
- The July retail data provide some hope that consumer spending
could prevent a second straight economic contraction in Q3. Consumer
spending rose by 0.5% in Q2, even as business investment declined.
- Non-store retailing, which largely consists of internet-only
outlets, jumped by 6.9% in July, the biggest rise since May 2016,
contributing 0.7 percentage points to the increase in total sales.
Online promotions accounted for much of the jump, according to ONS
officials.
- The online promotions helped drive internet sales, which rose to
a record-high 19.9% of total sales in value terms. That ratio has
climbed steadily from just over 15% over the past three years,
suggesting more pain to come for high-street retailers.
- Retail price inflation ticked up to an annual rate of 0.8% in
July, the highest since December. Recent sterling weakness could feed
through to retail prices in months to come. The implied deflator topped
3% in the third quarter of 2017 following the plunge in the pound after
the Brexit referendum.
-London bureau: 44 (0) 203 865 3812; email: ukeditorial@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$B$$$,MABDS$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.