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MNI DATA SURVEY: China December Economic Data Forecasts

MNI (Singapore)
     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
                    GDP  M2   New Loans (CNY Bln)   TSF (CNY Bln)
                     Q4  Dec                   Dec             Dec
------------------------------------------------------------------
Median              6.4  8.2                 800.0          1250.0
High                6.7  8.8                1300.0          1650.0
Low                 6.3  7.9                 600.0          1100.0
Mean                6.4  8.2                 837.0          1288.1
No.                  11   17                    18              11
Previous            6.5  8.0                1250.0          1519.0
CIB Research        N/A  8.0                1250.0          1350.0
CICC                6.4  8.1                 800.0          1100.0
CITIC Sec           N/A  8.3                 660.0          1150.0
Everbright Sec      6.5  8.2                1000.0             N/A
Goldman Sachs       6.5  8.6                1300.0          1500.0
Haitong Sec         6.4  8.7                 800.0             N/A
Huachuang Sec       N/A  7.9                 800.0             N/A
Huatai Sec          6.5  8.0                 700.0          1300.0
Merchant Sec        N/A  8.2                 700.0          1650.0
Minsheng Bank       N/A  N/A                 900.0          1200.0
Mizuho              6.4  8.1                 800.0             N/A
Moody's             N/A  8.1                   N/A             N/A
Peking U Rsrch      6.4  8.2                 950.0             N/A
Sealand Sec         6.4  N/A                 800.0             N/A
Shanghai Sec        6.7  8.2                 600.0             N/A
Shenwan Hongyuan    N/A  8.6                 850.0          1250.0
Sinolink Sec        6.4  7.9                 750.0          1150.0
Southwest Sec       N/A  7.9                 750.0          1200.0
Standard Chartered  6.3  8.8                 656.0          1319.0
                    Output Dec  Investment Jan-Dec  Retail Dec
--------------------------------------------------------------
Median                     5.4                 5.9         8.1
High                       6.0                 7.1         9.2
Low                        5.2                 5.5         7.6
Mean                       5.5                 6.0         8.2
No.                         18                  17          18
Previous                   5.4                 5.9         8.1
CIB Research               5.8                 5.8         9.2
CICC                       5.4                 5.8         7.9
CITIC Sec                  5.4                 5.8         8.2
Everbright Sec             5.2                 6.0         8.0
Goldman Sachs              5.4                 5.9         8.0
Haitong Sec                5.4                 6.0         7.6
Huachuang Sec              5.3                 5.9         7.9
Huatai Sec                 5.6                 5.5         8.6
Merchant Sec               5.2                 5.8         8.2
Minsheng Bank              5.3                 N/A         7.8
Mizuho                     5.3                 6.0         8.0
Peking U Rsrch             5.6                 5.8         7.9
Sealand Sec                5.3                 6.0         8.0
Shanghai Sec               6.0                 7.1         9.2
Shenwan Hongyuan           5.8                 6.1         8.3
Sinolink Sec               5.5                 5.9         8.3
Southwest Sec              5.5                 5.8         8.6
Standard Chartered         5.2                 6.0         8.3
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     December trade data is due for release on January 14.
     December CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130 GMT January 10.
     December money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between January 10 and January 15. Date and time uncertain at
publication time.
     Q4 GDP, December industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset
investment will be released at 1000 local/0200 GMT on January 21.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
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DataData TablePolicy NewsAPACChinaJapanAustraliaNew ZealandChina Market NewsRegion
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