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Free AccessMNI DATA SURVEY: China March Economic Data Forecasts
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified
New Loans
GDP M2 (CNY Bln) TSF (CNY Output Retail
Q1 Mar Mar Bln) Mar Mar Mar
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 6.8 8.9 1200 1700 7.6 6.0 9.9
High 6.9 9.1 1800 1900 8.4 7.5 10.2
Low 6.7 8.6 800 1200 7.1 5.8 8.5
Mean 6.8 8.9 1203 1640 7.6 6.2 9.8
No. 16 16 16 11 17 17 17
Previous 6.8 8.8 839 1170 7.9 7.2 9.7
BankComm 6.8 9.1 1250 na 7.6 6.5 9.6
China Sec 6.7 9.0 800 na 7.6 6.0 9.5
CICC 6.7 8.6 1200 1800 7.7 6.0 9.8
Everbright Sec 6.8 9.0 1300 1800 7.5 6.5 9.9
First Capital 6.8 na na na 7.6 6.1 10.1
Guohai Sec 6.7 na 1800 na 7.6 6.0 10.0
Guotai Junan 6.7 8.8 1000 1200 7.2 5.9 10.0
Haitong Sec 6.8 8.6 1200 1440 7.2 6.0 8.5
HSBC na na na na na na na
Huatai Sec 6.7 8.8 1300 1700 7.1 5.8 10.0
IndustrialBank 6.8 9.0 1500 1900 7.7 6.1 10.0
ING na 8.9 1000 na na na na
Merchant Sec 6.8 8.9 1100 1500 8.2 6.2 10.0
Minsheng Bank 6.7 8.8 1200 1400 7.6 6.0 10.0
Morgan Stanley 6.9 9.0 1200.0 1700.0 7.7 6.3 9.5
Moody's 6.7 9.0 na na 7.7 6.8 9.7
Shanghai Sec 6.8 8.8 1200 na 8.4 7.5 9.9
Shenwan
Hongyuan na 8.9 1100 1800 7.4 6.0 10.2
Southwest Sec 6.7 8.7 1100 1800 7.6 6.0 9.2
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
March money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between Apr 10 and Apr 15. Date and time uncertain.
Q1 GDP, March Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset
investment will be released at 1000 local/0200GMT on Apr 17.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.