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Policy
Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
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Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
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G10 Markets
G10 Markets
Real-time insight on key fixed income and fx markets.
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Data
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Global Macro
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Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI: PBOC Net Injects CNY37.3 Bln via OMO Wednesday
MNI ASIA MARKETS OPEN: Tsy Curves Reverse Course Ahead Wed CPI
MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan Jan Trade, CPI, Dec Machinery Orders
TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts from MNI's economist
survey for key Japanese data due in the coming week.
Date JST/GMT Data Month Median Previous
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed, Feb 19 0850/2350 Exports Jan -7.1 % y/y -6.3
Wed, Feb 19 0850/2350 Imports Jan -1.3 % y/y -4.9
Wed, Feb 19 0850/2350 Trade Balance Jan -1717.2 bln yen -154.6
Wed, Feb 19 0850/2350 Machinery Orders Dec -9.3 % m/m 18.0
Fri, Feb 21 0830/2330 National Core CPI Jan 0.7 % y/y 0.7
Trade Statistics Forecast
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Exports Imports Trade Balance
y/y % y/y % (bln yen)
Median Forecast -7.1 -1.3 -1717.2
High Forecast -4.0 0.8 -1368.4
Low Forecast -9.0 -4.5 -1883.2
Previous Month -6.3 -4.9 -154.6
Standard Deviation 1.4 1.8 136.6
No. of Responses 11 11 12
Exports Imports Trade Balance
y/y % y/y % (bln yen)
BNP Paribas N/A N/A -1,831.4
Japan Research Institute -4.0 -3.9 -1,368.4
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute -6.0 0.0 -1,752.2
Mizuho Research Institute -6.7 -1.1 -1,714.3
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management -6.9 -0.4 -1,770.0
SMBC Nikko Securities -7.0 -2.1 -1,628.8
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting -7.1 -1.3 -1,720.0
Nomura Securities -7.3 0.8 -1,883.2
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities -8.3 -1.3 -1,790.0
Daiwa Institute of Research -8.5 -4.1 -1,582.6
NLI Research Institute -8.8 -3.5 -1,669.0
Norinchukin Research Institute -9.0 -4.5 -1,604.8
Core Private-Sector Machinery Orders
----------------------------------------------------
Change m/m %
Median Forecast -9.3
High Forecast -3.6
Low Forecast -13.2
Previous Month 18.0
Standard Deviation 2.9
No. of Responses 12
Change m/m %
Mizuho Research Institute -3.6
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management -5.0
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities -6.2
NLI Research Institute -6.6
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute -8.0
Japan Research Institute -8.5
Norinchukin Research Institute -10.0
SMBC Nikko Securities -10.2
Daiwa Institute of Research -10.5
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting -10.9
BNP Paribas -12.0
Nomura Securities -13.2
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
-----------------------------------------------------------
National % y/y
Median Forecast 0.7
High Forecast 0.8
Low Forecast 0.6
Previous Month 0.7
Standard Deviation 0.1
No. of Responses 12
National % y/y
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute 0.8
Japan Research Institute 0.8
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting 0.8
NLI Research Institute 0.8
SMBC Nikko Securities 0.8
BNP Paribas 0.7
Daiwa Institute of Research 0.7
Mizuho Research Institute 0.7
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities 0.7
Nomura Securities 0.7
Norinchukin Research Institute 0.6
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management 0.6
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.