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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan June Trade Statistics, National CPI

MNI (London)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts from MNI's economist
survey for key Japanese data due in the coming week.
Date           JST/GMT                Data   Month   Median            Previous
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thu, Jul 18  0850/2350             Exports     Jun     -5.3    % y/y       -7.8
Thu, Jul 18  0850/2350             Imports     Jun     -0.6    % y/y       -1.5
Thu, Jul 18  0850/2350       Trade Balance     Jun    426.3  bln yen     -968.3
Fri, Jul 19  0830/2330   National Core CPI     Jun      0.6    % y/y        0.8
Trade Statistics Forecast
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
Median Forecast                              -5.3      -0.6          426.3
High Forecast                                -3.1       2.7          565.9
Low Forecast                                 -6.8      -3.7          287.8
Previous Month                               -7.8      -1.5         -968.3
Standard Deviation                            1.3       2.0           85.1
No. of Responses                               10        10             12
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
BNP Paribas                                   N/A       N/A          343.5
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management              N/A       N/A          475.0
Hamagin Research Institute                   -3.1       2.7          340.0
Mizuho Research Institute                    -3.2      -0.3          517.5
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities               -4.5      -0.2          420.0
Daiwa Institute of Research                  -5.0       0.0          375.1
SMBC Nikko Securities                        -5.0      -0.4          401.9
Nomura Securities                            -5.6      -3.7          565.9
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute             -6.0      -3.3          513.3
Japan Research Institute                     -6.3      -2.4          432.6
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting       -6.4      -3.6          500.0
NLI Research Institute                       -6.8      -0.7          287.8
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
------------------------------------------------------------
                                              National % y/y
Median Forecast                                          0.6
High Forecast                                            0.8
Low Forecast                                             0.5
Previous Month                                           0.8
Standard Deviation                                       0.1
No. of Responses                                          12
                                              National % y/y
Hamagin Research Institute                               0.8
Mizuho Research Institute                                0.7
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                         0.7
BNP Paribas                                              0.6
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                         0.6
Daiwa Institute of Research                              0.6
Japan Research Institute                                 0.6
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                   0.6
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                           0.6
NLI Research Institute                                   0.6
Nomura Securities                                        0.6
SMBC Nikko Securities                                    0.5
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAJDA$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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