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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan March Trade Statistics, National CPI

MNI (Singapore)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts for the key Japanese
data due this week provided by economists surveyed by MNI.
Date           JST/GMT                Data   Month   Median            Previous
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed, Apr 18  0850/2350             Exports     Mar      5.3    % y/y        1.8
Wed, Apr 18  0850/2350             Imports     Mar      8.5    % y/y       16.6
Wed, Apr 18  0850/2350       Trade Balance     Mar    440.2  bln yen        2.6
Fri, Apr 20  0830/2330   National Core CPI     Mar      0.9    % y/y        1.0
Trade Statistics Forecast
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
Median Forecast                               5.3       8.5          440.2
High Forecast                                 7.2      11.9          880.0
Low Forecast                                  0.4       1.3          274.4
Previous Month                                1.8      16.6            2.6
Standard Deviation                            1.7       3.5          211.3
No. of Responses                               13        13             14
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
BNP Paribas                                    na        na          594.7
Daiwa Institute of Research                   7.2      11.9          340.0
Mizuho Research Institute                     6.8       8.6          521.8
NLI Research Institute                        6.3       4.0          794.0
Norinchukin Research Institute                6.0      10.0          382.1
Hamagin Research Institute                    5.6       9.7          366.8
Barclays Securities                           5.6       9.8          357.0
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting        5.3       1.6          880.0
Nomura Securities                             5.0       1.3          875.2
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management              4.7       8.7          370.0
SMBC Nikko Securities                         4.6       6.6          498.3
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                4.3       8.5          350.0
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute              4.0       3.0          693.9
Japan Research Institute                      0.4       5.4          274.4
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
------------------------------------------------------------
                                              National % y/y
Median Forecast                                          0.9
High Forecast                                            1.0
Low Forecast                                             0.9
Previous Month                                           1.0
Standard Deviation                                       0.0
No. of Responses                                          14
                                              National % y/y
BNP Paribas                                              1.0
Hamagin Research Institute                               1.0
Norinchukin Research Institute                           1.0
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                         1.0
Barclays Securities                                      0.9
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                         0.9
Daiwa Institute of Research                              0.9
Japan Research Institute                                 0.9
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                   0.9
Mizuho Research Institute                                0.9
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                           0.9
NLI Research Institute                                   0.9
Nomura Securities                                        0.9
SMBC Nikko Securities                                    0.9
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAJDA$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]

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