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February 04, 2020 06:55 GMT
MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan Preliminary GDP for October-December
MNI (London)
TOKYO (MNI) - Following are the median forecasts for Japan's preliminary
GDP for the October-December quarter provided by economists surveyed by MNI.
Monday, February 17, 0850 JST (2350 GMT Sunday, February 16): The Cabinet
Office releases preliminary Q4 GDP. The median forecasts are q/q percentage
changes, except for the contributions of private inventories and net exports,
which are in percentage points.
Data Median Previous
----------------------
GDP q/q -1.0 0.4
-------------------------------
GDP Annualized -3.8 1.8
Consumption -2.0 0.5
Capex -1.7 1.8
Public Investment 1.0 0.9
Private Inventories 0.2 -0.2
Net Exports 0.3 -0.2
GDP
------------------------------------------------
% Q/Q % Annualized
Median Forecast -1.0 -3.8
High Forecast -0.8 -3.0
Low Forecast -1.9 -7.5
Previous 0.4 1.8
Standard Deviation 0.4 1.4
No. of Responses 8 8
Mitsubishi Research -0.8 -3.0
Daiwa Institute of Research -0.9 -3.5
SMBC Nikko -0.9 -3.7
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C -0.9 -3.7
Sumitomo Mitsui DS AM -1.0 -3.8
Japan Research -1.0 -3.9
Dai-ichi Life Research -1.1 -4.3
Mitsubishi Morgan Stanley -1.9 -7.5
Consumption Capex Public Works
---------------------------------------------------------------
% Q/Q % Q/Q % Q/Q
Median Forecast -2.0 -1.7 1.0
High Forecast -1.8 -1.0 3.2
Low Forecast -3.3 -3.0 0.0
Previous 0.5 1.8 0.9
Standard Deviation 0.5 0.7 1.0
No. of Responses 8 8 8
Mitsubishi Research -1.9 -3.0 0.6
Daiwa Institute of Research -1.9 -1.3 1.4
SMBC Nikko -1.9 -2.0 0.3
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C -2.2 -1.4 1.1
Sumitomo Mitsui DS AM -1.8 -1.4 0.0
Japan Research -2.0 -1.0 1.4
Dai-ichi Life Research -2.7 -2.0 0.9
Mitsubishi Morgan Stanley -3.3 -2.6 3.2
Private Inventories Net Export
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
% Point Contribution % Point Contribution
Median Forecast 0.2 0.3
High Forecast 0.4 0.5
Low Forecast 0.0 0.2
Previous -0.2 -0.2
Standard Deviation 0.1 0.1
No. of Responses 8 8
Mitsubishi Research 0.4 0.3
Daiwa Institute of Research 0.1 0.3
SMBC Nikko 0.0 0.4
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C 0.2 0.3
Sumitomo Mitsui DS AM 0.0 0.2
Japan Research 0.0 0.3
Dai-ichi Life Research 0.2 0.5
Mitsubishi Morgan Stanley 0.2 0.2
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-2175-0040; email: hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
Les Commons
Hiroshi Inoue
Hiroshi covers the Bank of Japan and the Japanese economy for MNI from Tokyo.
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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