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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan's Revised GDP for July-September

(MNI) Tokyo
(MNI) TOKYO

The following are the median forecasts for Japan's revised (second preliminary) gross domestic product for the July-September quarter provided by economists surveyed by MNI.

Thursday, December 8, 0850 JST (2350 GMT Wednesday, December 7): The Cabinet Office releases revised (second preliminary) Q3 GDP. The median forecasts are in quarter-on-quarter percentage changes, except for the contributions of private inventories and net exports, which are in percentage points.

DataMedianPrevious
GDP q/q-0.3-0.3
GDP Annualized-1.1-1.2
Consumption0.30.3
Capex1.71.5
Public Investment1.51.2
Private Inventories-0.1-0.1
Net Exports-0.7-0.7
GDP
%Q/Q%Annualized
Median Forecast-0.3-1.1
High Forecast-0.1-0.4
Low Forecast-0.3-1.2
Previous-0.3-1.2
Standard Deviation0.10.3
No. of Responses66
NLI-0.1-0.4
Sumitomo Mitsui DS AM-0.2-0.9
BNP Paribas-0.3-1.1
Japan Research-0.3-1.1
Mizuho R&T-0.3-1.2
SMBC Nikko-0.3-1.2
Consumption CapexPublic Works
%Q/Q%Q/Q% Q/Q
Median Forecast0.31.71.5
High Forecast0.32.42.0
Low Forecast0.31.51.2
Previous0.31.51.2
Standard Deviation0.00.30.3
No. of Responses666
NLI0.32.41.2
Sumitomo Mitsui DS AM0.31.82.0
BNP Paribas0.31.51.6
Japan Research0.31.81.5
Mizuho R&T0.31.61.2
SMBC Nikko0.31.61.4
Private InventoriesNet Exports
% Point Contribution% Point Contribution
Median Forecast-0.1-0.7
High Forecast0.0-0.7
Low Forecast-0.1-0.7
Previous-0.1-0.7
Standard Deviation0.00.0
No. of Responses66
NLI0.0-0.7
Sumitomo Mitsui DS AM-0.1-0.7
BNP Paribas-0.1-0.7
Japan Research-0.1-0.7
Mizuho R&T-0.1-0.7
SMBC Nikko-0.1-0.7
MNI Tokyo Bureau | +81 90-2175-0040 | hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
MNI Tokyo Bureau | +81 90-2175-0040 | hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com

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