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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan September Trade Statistics

MNI (London)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts from MNI's economist
survey for key Japanese data due in the coming week.
Date           JST/GMT           Data   Month   Median            Previous
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mon, Oct 21  0850/2350        Exports     Sep     -3.7    % y/y       -8.2
Mon, Oct 21  0850/2350        Imports     Sep     -2.8    % y/y      -11.9
Mon, Oct 21  0850/2350  Trade Balance     Sep     54.0  bln yen     -143.5
Trade Statistics Forecast
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
Median Forecast                              -3.7      -2.8           54.0
High Forecast                                 0.5       2.5          169.7
Low Forecast                                 -6.2      -5.2         -230.2
Previous Month                               -8.2     -11.9         -143.5
Standard Deviation                            1.8       2.1          115.8
No. of Responses                               13        13             13
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
Hamagin Research Institute                    0.5       0.7          106.0
Daiwa Institute of Research                  -1.8       2.5         -230.2
Mizuho Research Institute                    -2.6      -3.4          169.7
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute             -3.1      -2.2           60.9
SMBC Nikko Securities                        -3.4      -0.3          -82.2
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities               -3.5      -2.8           80.0
BNP Paribas                                  -3.7      -3.4           97.3
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management             -3.8      -2.8           54.0
Nomura Securities                            -4.0      -4.6          161.1
NLI Research Institute                       -4.6      -2.2          -45.4
Norinchukin Research Institute               -5.0      -2.0          -80.0
Japan Research Institute                     -6.1      -3.1          -83.0
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting       -6.2      -5.2           50.0
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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