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Free AccessMNI POLITICAL RISK - Trump Rounds Out Cabinet Nominations
MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - Week Ahead 25 Nov-1 Dec
MNI Dollar-Asia Morning FX Technical Analysis
10 November 2017
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FX Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/pzkomnu
DOLLAR-SING TECHS: 55-DMA Remains Key Support
*RES 4: Sgd1.3720 - High July 17
*RES 3: Sgd1.3677 - Hourly resistance Oct 27
*RES 2: Sgd1.3659 - High Nov 6
*RES 1: Sgd1.3629 - High Nov 9
*PRICE: Sgd1.3586 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Sgd1.3557- 55-DMA
*SUP 2: Sgd1.3517- 200-WMA
*SUP 3: Sgd1.3504 - Bollinger band base
*SUP 4: Sgd1.3484 - Low Oct 13
*COMMENTARY: Bulls have failed to produce a break above Sgd1.3659 this week with
the pair looking heavy as it trades below the bull channel base (Sgd1.3596) as
bears now focus on the 55-DMA. Bears look for a close below the 55-DMA to shift
initial focus back to Sgd1.3484 and overall focus back to 2017 lows (Sgd1.3343).
Bulls still need a close above Sgd1.3659 to confirm a break of the 100-DMA
(Sgd1.3616) and focus on $1.3720.
DOLLAR-WON TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above 200-WMA
*RES 4: Krw1123.9 - 21-DMA
*RES 3: Krw1123.5 - Low Oct 30 now resistance
*RES 2: Krw1120.1 - 200-WMA
*RES 1: Krw1119.0 - Low Aug 28 now resistance
*PRICE: Krw1115.6 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Krw1110.5 - 2017 Low Mar 28
*SUP 2: Krw1107.0 - Low Oct 10 2016
*SUP 3: Krw1097.8 - Low Sept 30 2016
*SUP 4: Krw1089.7 - 2016 Low Sept 7
*COMMENTARY: Gapping moves resulted in a test of the 2017 low with O/S daily
studies looking to correct remaining the key concern for bears. Bears continue
to look for a close below 2017 lows to target 2016 lows. Bulls still need a
close above the 200-WMA to ease bearish pressure and above the 21-DMA to shift
focus back to key DMAS Krw1129.1-1134.2.
DOLLAR-MYR TECHS: Rallies Capped Ahead Of 100-DMA
*RES 4: Myr4.2860 - High Aug 30
*RES 3: Myr4.2680 - High Sept 5
*RES 2: Myr4.2563 - 100-DMA
*RES 1: Myr4.2558 - High Oct 26
*PRICE: Myr4.2270 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Myr4.2080 - Low Nov 9
*SUP 2: Myr4.2062 - Low Oct 16
*SUP 3: Myr4.1940 - Low Oct 13
*SUP 4: Myr4.1870 - Low Sept 20
*COMMENTARY: The 100-DMA capped rallies in recent weeks with bulls needing a
close above Myr4.2680 to confirm a break and hint at a move back to
Myr4.3112-3282 where the 200-DMA is noted. Bulls look for a close above My4.2860
to add support to their case. Bears now look for a close below Myr4.2080 to
shift focus back to Myr4.1800-1940 following the lack of downside follow through
in recent weeks.
DOLLAR-CNH TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above 100-DMA
*RES 4: Cnh6.7154 - Low Aug 1 now resistance
*RES 3: Cnh6.6904 - High Oct 3
*RES 2: Cnh6.6663 - 100-DMA
*RES 1: Cnh6.6651 - High Oct 27
*PRICE: Cnh6.6479 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Cnh6.6216 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: Cnh6.6016 - 55-DMA
*SUP 3: Cnh6.5852 - Low Nov 2
*SUP 4: Cnh6.5687 - Bollinger band base
*COMMENTARY: Bears failed to capitalise on the dip below the 55-DMA (Cnh6.6018)
last week with the bounce seeing pressure return to resistance layers. Bulls
still need a close above Cnh6.6904 to shift focus to the 200-DMA (Cnh6.7651).
Bears now look for a close below the 21-DMA to ease renewed bullish pressure and
below Cnh6.5852 to confirm breaks of DMAs and add weight to the case for an
initial test of Cnh6.5568 and then Cnh6.5053.
DOLLAR-PHP TECHS: Immediate Bearish Focus On Channel Base
*RES 4: Php51.850 - 2017 High Oct 27
*RES 3: Php51.771 - Bollinger band top
*RES 2: Php51.610 - Low Oct 30 now resistance
*RES 1: Php51.470 - High Nov 8
*PRICE: Php51.270 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Php51.140 - Low Nov 3
*SUP 2: Php51.081 - Daily Bull channel base
*SUP 3: Php50.878 - 100-DMA
*SUP 4: Php50.720 - Low Sept 26
*COMMENTARY: The correction lower from 2017 highs has so far failed to gain
traction below the 55-DMA (Php52.208) as bears focus on the daily bull channel
base. Bears need a close below the channel base to shift immediate focus to the
100-DMA. Bulls now look for a close above the Php51.470 to confirm a break of
the 21-DMA (Php51.444), easing bearish pressure and above Php51.610 to return
focus to 2017 highs.
DOLLAR-THB TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above 100-DMA
*RES 4: Thb33.70 - High July 20
*RES 3: Thb33.54 - High Oct 3
*RES 2: Thb33.35 - High Oct 27, 21-WMA, 100-DMA
*RES 1: Thb33.20 - Daily Bear channel top
*PRICE: Thb33.09 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Thb33.01 - 2017 Low Sept 7 & 8, Oct 16
*SUP 2: Thb32.98 - Monthly Low May 1 2015
*SUP 3: Thb32.52 - Low Apr 27 2015
*SUP 4: Thb32.23 - Daily Bear channel base
*COMMENTARY: The break of Thb33.25 lacked follow through with recent topside
hesitation resulting in a break of Thb33.10 and immediate focus returned to the
2017 low. Overall bears need a close below Thb32.98 to shift focus to Thb32.52.
Bulls still need a close above the 100-DMA to ease bearish pressure and above
Thb33.54 to hint at a move back to Thb33.77-96 where the 200-DMA is situated.
DOLLAR-IDR TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above Idr13540
*RES 4: Idr13670 - Rising TL off Sept & Oct highs
*RES 3: Idr13640 - 2017 High Oct 27
*RES 2: Idr13605 - High Oct 30
*RES 1: Idr13540 - Low Nov 2 now resistance
*PRICE: Idr13515 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Idr13465 - Bollinger band base
*SUP 2: Idr13455 - Low Oct 5
*SUP 3: Idr13425 - 55-DMA
*SUP 4: Idr13387 - 100-DMA
*COMMENTARY: Daily studies correcting from O/B weighed and have resulted in a
break and closes below the 21-DMA (Idr13533). Immediate focus has shifted to the
Idr13455 support with bears needing a close below to confirm focus on
Idr13353-425 where 55, 100 & 200-DMAs are situated. Bulls now need a close above
Idr13540 to ease pressure on supports and shift focus back to Idr13605-640.
DOLLAR-INR TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above Inr65.195
*RES 4: Inr65.482 - LT Falling daily TL
*RES 3: Inr65.413 - High Oct 9
*RES 2: Inr65.195 - High Oct 25
*RES 1: Inr65.086 - 200-DMA
*PRICE: Inr64.935 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Inr64.738 - High Nov 6 now support
*SUP 2: Inr64.639 - 55-DMA
*SUP 3: Inr63.496 - 100-DMA
*SUP 4: Inr63.440 - Low Sept 21
*COMMENTARY: The Inr65.195 resistance confirmed significance with the pair
capped ahead of this level on the pop above the 200-DMA. Bulls still look for a
close above Inr65.195 to confirm a break of the 200-DMA and to focus on
Inr65.413-650 where the falling daily TL off Nov 2016 highs is situated. Layers
of support have been left behind with bears still needing a close below
Inr63.440 to end bullish hopes and target Inr63.56-93.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.