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MNI Europe Pi (Positioning Indicator): Longs Fade

MNI Europe Pi (Positioning Indicator): Longs Fade

MNI Europe Pi (Positioning Indicator): Longs Fade

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

  • European bond futures have moved away from the long-leaning structural positioning seen at the outset of 2024, with MNI Europe Pi showing predominantly flat positioning - and no longs (vs three contracts in our last update).
  • The long setting/short cover seen in the 2nd half of December has given way to long reduction and short-setting across most contracts last week.

Full PDF Analysis:

MNIPiJan152024.pdf


  • GERMANY: Schatz and Bund have both pulled back from long structural positioning, and are now flat - joining Buxl which has been in flat territory for most of the past 6 months. Bobl remains in short structural positioning, once again the only short in Europe Pi. Last week saw short covering in Schatz, with longs reduced in each of the other 3 contracts.
  • OAT: OAT remains in flat structural positioning, where it has been for most of the past half-year. Trade in the most recent week was indicative of short setting.
  • GILT: Gilt structural positioning has moved to flat from long in our previous two updates. Some short-setting was evident in the most recent week.
  • BTP: BTP structural positioning remains flat, though there was some long-setting in evidence in the most recent week of trade.


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