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MNI Global Morning Briefing

MNI (London)
     LONDON (MNI) - It's the end of the week and the data reflects this
sentiment, keeping it short and sweet to close the weekend.
     Germany's final CPI readings for March is released at 0600GMT. Preliminary
data m/m and y/y CPI stood at 0.4% and 1.5% respectively.
     Following up an hour later is Spain's final HICP for March. February's y/y
figure of 1.3% is expected by analysts to remain unchanged for March. The m/m
figure in February was fairly high at 1.2%.
     February's trade balance for the Euro Area (0900GMT) will look to continue
the positive signs seen in January. January of 2018 saw the Euro Area record a
eur3.3 billion surplus after a deficit of eur1.4 billion a year earlier.
     Moving swiftly to the late morning/early afternoon, Boston Federal Reserve
Bank President Eric Rosengren to be the Keynote Speaker on the Greater Boston
Chamber's Economic Outlook breakfast at 1130GMT.
     Data from the Canadian Real Estate Association at 1300GMT should see a
rebound from previous m/m home re-sales which declined by 6.5%.
     A double release of the job openings and labour turnover survey is at
1400GMT in the US. The quits rate for January stood at 2.2% whereas the openings
levels posted an index figure of 6.312.
     The University of Michigan Sentiment index (also at 1400GMT)is expected to
be down to 100.2 in early-April from 101.4 in March.
     The remainder of US data for today is at 1500GMT and 1515GMT with the St.
Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast and the NY Fed GDP Nowcast respectively. Previously,
the St. Louis Fed had a Q1 Real GDP estimate of 3.41% with the NY Fed GDP
estimate of 2.8%.
     China will release at some point on Friday, April data for Money Supply,
New Loans and Total Social Financing figures. The M2 ytd y/y previously was at
8.8%, new loans stood at CNY839.3 billion and total social financing was at
CNY1.17 trillion.
     Also anticipated is the March trade balance. The February trade balance
evidenced a surplus of USD 33.74 billion but is anticipated to narrow to USD 27
billion in March. Whilst y/y exports grew by a staggering 44.5% in February, MNI
forecasts suggest analysts see this coming in much lower in March at 10% as well
as imports y/y rising from 6.3% in February to 12.0% in March.
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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