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MNI GLOBAL MORNING BRIEFING: December 6

MNI (London)

Today’s data calendar looks relatively light, following a bumper Friday which left markets stunned by significantly lower payroll gains in the US.

German Factory & Industrial Orders (0700 GMT)

German factory orders are forecast to contract -0.2% m/m for October following some volatile past months, with September’s reading showing recovery signs at 1.3% m/m following August’s plunge to -8.8% m/m where metal production and automotive orders dropped against a backdrop of severe supply bottlenecks. Yearly factory orders also likely to show a slowdown, expected to come in at 5.5% for October 2021 compared to 9.7% in October last year.

Eurozone Construction PMI (0830 GMT)

Eurozone construction is forecasted to continue to marginally increase in November, up from October’s pandemic-era high of 51.2 due to rising demand and workloads, edging back up to pre-covid levels.

Italian Retail Sales (0900 GMT)

Retail in Italy is projected to remain stable around October’s 0.8% m/m and 5.3 y/y mark, with COVID-19 cases only beginning to rise in the last week of the month. Italian retail readings remain above Friday’s pan-Eurozone growth rate of 0.2% m/m.

UK Construction PMI (0930 GMT)

UK construction was 54.6 in October, in line with pre-pandemic levels, following a bumper reading of June’s 24-year peak. Persistent labour and input shortages are likely to continue.

Today BOE Deputy Governor and MPC member Ben Broadbent will be speaking at Leeds University, perhaps offering a further clue on the central bank's core thinking a week or so from the December meeting.

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