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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: China November PMI Rises Further Above 50
MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
MNI Japan Survey: Preliminary GDP for July-September
TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts for Japan's gross
domestic product for the July-September quarter of 2017 provided by economists
surveyed by MNI.
Wednesday, Nov. 15, 0850 JST (2350 GMT Tuesday, Nov. 14): The Cabinet
Office releases preliminary Q3 GDP. The median forecasts are in
quarter-on-quarter percentage changes, except for the contributions of private
inventories and net exports, which are in percentage points.
Data Median Previous
-------------------------------------
GDP q/q 0.4 0.6
GDP Annualized 1.6 2.5
Consumption -0.3 0.8
Capex 0.2 0.5
Public Investment -2.0 6.0
Private Inventories 0.1 -0.0
Net Exports 0.4 -0.3
GDP
-------------------------------------------
% Q/Q % Annualized
Median Forecast 0.4 1.6
High Forecast 0.4 1.7
Low Forecast 0.2 0.6
Previous 0.6 2.5
Standard Deviation 0.1 0.4
No. of Responses 10 10
BNP Paribas 0.4 1.7
MUFJ Morgan Stanley 0.4 1.7
Mitsubishi Research 0.4 1.7
Japan Research 0.4 1.6
Dai-ichi Life Research 0.4 1.6
MUFJ R & C 0.4 1.5
NLI Research 0.4 1.5
DIR 0.2 1.0
Mizuho Research 0.2 0.9
Sumitomo Mitsui AM 0.2 0.6
Consumption Capex Public Works
--------------------------------------------------------
% Q/Q % Q/Q % Q/Q
Median Forecast -0.3 0.2 -2.0
High Forecast -0.1 0.7 -0.9
Low Forecast -0.4 -0.7 -2.8
Previous 0.8 0.5 6.0
Standard Deviation 0.1 0.4 0.5
No. of Responses 10 10 10
BNP Paribas -0.4 0.2 -1.8
MUFJ Morgan Stanley -0.3 0.0 -2.4
Mitsubishi Research -0.1 0.7 -2.6
Japan Research -0.4 0.3 -2.8
Dai-ichi Life Research -0.4 0.4 -1.9
MUFJ R & C -0.2 0.1 -1.8
NLI Research -0.1 0.2 -2.0
DIR -0.2 0.1 -1.9
Mizuho Research -0.3 -0.7 -2.5
Sumitomo Mitsui AM -0.4 0.2 -0.9
Private Inventories Net Exports
------------------------------------------------------------------
% Point Contribution % Point Contribution
Median Forecast 0.1 0.4
High Forecast 0.3 0.6
Low Forecast 0.0 0.3
Previous -0.0 -0.3
Standard Deviation 0.1 0.1
No. of Responses 10 10
BNP Paribas 0.2 0.6
MUFJ Morgan Stanley 0.3 0.3
Mitsubishi Research 0.1 0.4
Japan Research 0.2 0.5
Dai-ichi Life Research 0.2 0.5
MUFJ R & C 0.1 0.4
NLI Research 0.1 0.4
DIR 0.1 0.3
Mizuho Research 0.1 0.5
Sumitomo Mitsui AM 0.0 0.4
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-4670-5309; email: max.sato@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.