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MNI Japan Survey: Preliminary GDP for July-September

     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts for Japan's gross
domestic product for the July-September quarter of 2017 provided by economists
surveyed by MNI.
     Wednesday, Nov. 15, 0850 JST (2350 GMT Tuesday, Nov. 14): The Cabinet
Office releases preliminary Q3 GDP. The median forecasts are in
quarter-on-quarter percentage changes, except for the contributions of private
inventories and net exports, which are in percentage points.
Data                 Median  Previous
-------------------------------------
GDP q/q                 0.4       0.6
GDP Annualized          1.6       2.5
Consumption            -0.3       0.8
Capex                   0.2       0.5
Public Investment      -2.0       6.0
Private Inventories     0.1      -0.0
Net Exports             0.4      -0.3
                          GDP
-------------------------------------------
                        % Q/Q  % Annualized
Median Forecast           0.4           1.6
High Forecast             0.4           1.7
Low Forecast              0.2           0.6
Previous                  0.6           2.5
Standard Deviation        0.1           0.4
No. of Responses           10            10
BNP Paribas               0.4           1.7
MUFJ Morgan Stanley       0.4           1.7
Mitsubishi Research       0.4           1.7
Japan Research            0.4           1.6
Dai-ichi Life Research    0.4           1.6
MUFJ R & C                0.4           1.5
NLI Research              0.4           1.5
DIR                       0.2           1.0
Mizuho Research           0.2           0.9
Sumitomo Mitsui AM        0.2           0.6
                        Consumption  Capex  Public Works
--------------------------------------------------------
                              % Q/Q  % Q/Q         % Q/Q
Median Forecast                -0.3    0.2          -2.0
High Forecast                  -0.1    0.7          -0.9
Low Forecast                   -0.4   -0.7          -2.8
Previous                        0.8    0.5           6.0
Standard Deviation              0.1    0.4           0.5
No. of Responses                 10     10            10
BNP Paribas                    -0.4    0.2          -1.8
MUFJ Morgan Stanley            -0.3    0.0          -2.4
Mitsubishi Research            -0.1    0.7          -2.6
Japan Research                 -0.4    0.3          -2.8
Dai-ichi Life Research         -0.4    0.4          -1.9
MUFJ R & C                     -0.2    0.1          -1.8
NLI Research                   -0.1    0.2          -2.0
DIR                            -0.2    0.1          -1.9
Mizuho Research                -0.3   -0.7          -2.5
Sumitomo Mitsui AM             -0.4    0.2          -0.9
                         Private Inventories           Net Exports
------------------------------------------------------------------
                        % Point Contribution  % Point Contribution
Median Forecast                          0.1                   0.4
High Forecast                            0.3                   0.6
Low Forecast                             0.0                   0.3
Previous                                -0.0                  -0.3
Standard Deviation                       0.1                   0.1
No. of Responses                          10                    10
BNP Paribas                              0.2                   0.6
MUFJ Morgan Stanley                      0.3                   0.3
Mitsubishi Research                      0.1                   0.4
Japan Research                           0.2                   0.5
Dai-ichi Life Research                   0.2                   0.5
MUFJ R & C                               0.1                   0.4
NLI Research                             0.1                   0.4
DIR                                      0.1                   0.3
Mizuho Research                          0.1                   0.5
Sumitomo Mitsui AM                       0.0                   0.4
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-4670-5309; email: max.sato@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

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