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TOKYO (MNI) - Japan's estimated positive output gap resulting from tighter
supply and firmer demand narrowed to 1.24 percentage points in the
July-September quarter from 1.60 percentage points in April-June, the Bank of
Japan said Tuesday.
--It was the eighth straight quarter of having a positive output gap, which
is expected to increase pressure on consumer prices and inflation expectations
with a lag of a few quarters.
--The BOJ's estimate of the output gap, which is based on capital and
labour stocks, was wider than the Cabinet Office's latest estimate at -0.2%
percentage point, a figure based on revised Q3 GDP data of -0.6% on quarter, or
an annualized rate of -2.5%, and down from +0.7% point for April-June.
--The BOJ also said that Japan's potential growth rate for April-Sept was
estimated to be 0.76%, up from 0.73% for the six months through March. It was
within the bank's latest estimate of 0.5-1.0% provided in the October Outlook
--The Cabinet Office estimates Japan's potential growth rate to be about
1.0% in the July-Sept quarter.
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