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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – Global COVID-19 Tracker – Aug 12

by Tom Lake

Today's Major COVID-19 Headlines And Latest Data

  • The US' top infectious disease expert Dr Anthony Fauci has voiced doubts about the potential development of a COVID-19 vaccine in Russia, given regulatory approval on August 11, saying "I hope that the Russians have actually definitively proven that the vaccine is safe and effective, I seriously doubt that they've done that." German Health Minister Jens Spahn also said it would be "dangerous to start vaccinating millions" if testing of the vaccine was not sufficient.
  • A top health expert in Spain has said the country is at a "critical moment" with the outbreak following a spike in cases across the past week. In the last 7 days Spain has recorded more new cases per day than France, Germany, Italy, and the UK combined. Salvador Macip from Catalonia's Open University said "we have to pull out all the stops to curb outbreaks before they become more serious." Most new infections have been recorded in Catalonia, Madrid, and Aragon, weeks after some lockdown restrictions were re-imposed.
  • French PM Jean Castex said on August 11 that the country's situation with regards to COVID-19 was "going in the wrong direction". The number of new daily cases has risen from a few hundred a day to around 1,500 per day, while the number of outbreak clusters is also rising. Castex has given local authorities instructions to ensure "as much as possible" individuals wear face masks on busy streets,
  • Global increase in cases (daily) – Yesterday: 1.0%. Seven-day average: 1.3%
  • Global increase in fatalities (daily) – Yesterday: 0.7%. Seven-day average: 0.8%
MNI INTERVIEW: German Wise Man Truger Upbeat On Outlook – The German economy could recover to pre-pandemic levels as soon as early next year and a strong V-shape is still a possibility, one of the German Council of Economic Experts, Achim Truger, told MNI in an interview. On MNI Policy Main Wire and email now - for more details please contact sales@marketnews.com


Chart 1. COVID-19 Cases and Fatalities, Nominal and % Chg Day-to-Day (5dma)

Source: JHU, MNI. As of 0500BST August 12. N.b. Each dot represents a single day's figures, data for past month

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