MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 13-09-22

Executive Summary:

• Democrat leadership intends to continue with plans to include a provision to relax energy permitting regulations in a continuing resolution to keep the government funded.
• Democrats are concerned over the political implications of a rail strike which could take place on Friday.
• The final batch of midterm primary elections take place in New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Delaware today.
• The Department of Justice has escalated its investigation into former President Donald Trump’s alleged attempt to overturn the 2020 election result.
• The DOJ appears to have softened its stance on the appointment of a special master to independently review the documents sized by the FBI at Mar-a-Lago.
• Ukraine is preparing to request more advanced weaponry from the US to assist its counterattack in the east and southeast of the country. The list is also understood to include Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMS) - a missile system the Biden administration has previously ruled out of packages over fears Ukraine could escalate the conflict by striking targets within Russia.
• Secretary of State Antony Blinken and his Mexican counterpart downplayed the seriousness of trade dispute, claiming that such disputes are common occurrences between trade partners.
• The prospect of a return to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action nuclear accords continue to look remote. “...Iran’s response to the proposal put forward by the European Union is clearly a step backward and makes prospects for an agreement in the near term, I would say, unlikely…” said Blinken.
• Poll of the Day: Pollsters have warned against polling bias in key battleground states.

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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 13-09-22 .pdf

Polling Bias New York Times