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MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
MNI:RBA Kearns: Apartment Construction Could Amplify Hsg Cycle
By Sophia Rodrigues
SYDNEY (MNI) - The Reserve Bank of Australia is closely monitoring
developments in the apartment building sector as loans for such developments
tend to be riskier than residential mortgage loans and as an increase in foreign
buying could amplify the housing cycle.
The RBA's views were relayed by the central bank's head of financial
stability, Jonathan Kearns, in a speech in Sydney on Monday.
"One part of the commercial property sector that the Reserve Bank has been
watching closely is loans for the development of residential property. The surge
in apartments recently completed and under construction in the major cities
raises the risk of price falls," Kearns said.
He noted that a large share of banks' commercial property lending is for
construction and development, including for large apartment buildings.
These loans tend to be riskier because the property isn't yet earning rent,
problems can arise in the often complex construction phase, and market
conditions can change in the several years or more it takes to complete large
projects, he said.
Also, losses can be greater on lending for commercial properties than for
residential properties because borrowers with a limited liability company
structure have less incentive to repay than individual residential mortgage
borrowers who face full recourse, he added.
Kearns noted that there have been increased purchases of dwellings by
foreign buyers, particularly for investment purposes, in the recent housing
cycle, which the RBA is watching. This is "a more recent phenomenon and so their
impact on the housing cycle is less clear," he said.
Overall, Kearns' comments were in line with what the RBA has already said
in the twice-yearly Financial Stability Review published last month.
Kearns repeated that the high level of household mortgage borrowing brings
risks for both lenders and households.
--MNI Sydney Bureau; tel: +61 2-9716-5467; email: sophia.rodrigues@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MMLRB$,M$A$$$,M$L$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.