MNI Survey of US Economic Forecasts: Jan 26

                         Jan 26     Jan 26   Jan 26   Jan 26

------------------------------------------------------------

                        Durable    Durable             Chain

                      Goods New      Goods     Real    Price

                         Orders  Ex. Trans      GDP    Index

Data For                    Dec        Dec   4Q (a)   4Q (a)

Denomination            Pct Chg    Pct Chg  Pct Chg  Pct Chg

Median Forecast **          0.9        0.5      3.0      2.3

High Forecast               3.1        0.8      3.8      2.5

Low Forecast               -1.5       -0.2      2.7      2.1

Mean                        1.0        0.5      3.1      2.3

Standard Deviation          1.3        0.3      0.3      0.1

No. of Responses             14         11       14        7

Amherst Pierpont           -1.5       -0.2      3.0       NA

Bank of the West            0.9        0.7      2.7      2.1

BMO                         0.9        0.6      2.9      2.3

BNP Paribas                 3.0         NA      3.1      2.4

Capital Economics          -0.1        0.4      2.8       NA

CIBC                        0.9        0.8      3.0      2.5

Comerica Bank               0.5         NA      3.0      2.3

Credit Suisse               1.5        0.5      3.2      2.3

FT Advisors                 1.3        0.4      3.3      2.1

Goldman Sachs               3.0        0.7      3.0       NA

J.P. Morgan                 0.6        0.3      3.1       NA

Morgan Stanley              3.1        0.4      3.7       NA

RBC                        -1.0        0.7      3.8       NA

UMaryland                   0.9         NA      3.0       NA

** Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above

and is not intended to represent a market consensus.

--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com

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