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MNI U.S. Weekly Macro Wrap: Further Signs Of Cooling

MNI U.S. Weekly Macro Wrap: Further Signs Of Cooling

Executive Summary

  • Real GDP growth was revised higher in Q1 but with dovish details including softer consumer spending.
  • Core PCE inflation was a little lower than expected in May on an unrounded basis, leaving an attainable path to the FOMC’s recently upward revised end-2024 forecast, although it’s only the first month of the year at a pace equivalent to below the 2% target.
  • A surprise rise in the household savings rate in May suggests some nascent consumer caution in Q2.
  • Jobless claims extended their recent cooling trend with continuing claims increasing to new recent highs.
  • Fed implied rates reversed most of their externally-driven increase from earlier in the week.

PLEASE FIND THE FULL REPORT HERE:

US week in macro_240628.pdf



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