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MXNJPY Finds Support Below 200DMA

MEXICO
  • MXNJPY, which has been viewed as an EM carry trade currency pair in the past cycle, has been consolidating lower in the past few days despite the 25bps hike yesterday (along with analyst expectations).
  • As for a number of EM countries, inflation risks are still elevated in Mexico with investors expecting inflationary pressures to remain elevated in the coming months.
  • With the USD broadly strengthening as Fed taper nears, some EM central banks took the decision to surprise the market with more aggressive hikes (i.e. CNB yesterday).
  • MXNJPY found support below its 200DMA (5.39) earlier today.
  • Momentum looks bearish in the ST; next key support to watch on the downside stands at 5.33 (61.8% Fibo of the 4.23 – 6.01 range, 2020-2021 low high).
  • On the topside, first resistance stands at 5.49 (50D/100DMA).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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