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NAB Survey Points To Cost Pressures And Possible Trough In CPI

AUSTRALIA DATA

The price/cost components of the August NAB business survey showed that businesses continue to face rising costs but retail and finished product prices eased in the month. While it is still early days, the Q3 average of finished goods prices is suggesting that the CPI may trough in Q4 as significant cost pressures are passed on.

Australia NAB price of final products vs CPI y/y% (quarterly)

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv

  • Purchase costs rose further to 2.9% from 2.8%, the highest since February, as fuel prices rose substantially in August in addition to July’s power price hikes. Labour costs moderated to 3.2% from 3.7%, but remained above average after July was boosted by the minimum award wage rise.
  • The price of final products moderated though to 1.7% from 1.9%, still above the 2023 average, and retail prices to 1.9% from 2.6%. This may be a tentative signal that firms’ pricing power eased, especially retailers. Although trading conditions rose a point to 18.4 in August suggesting that firms retain some pricing power.
Australia NAB survey price & cost components

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv

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