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Narrow Ranges On Monday

US TSYS

TYZ3 deals at 109-24+, -0-00+, in line with late NY levels.

  • Cash tsys finished flat to 4bps richer across the major benchmarks, the curve bear steepened.
  • Tsys observed narrow ranges with little follow through on moves through the session. NY Fed's 1-Year Inflation expectations ticked marginally higher in August, however there was a muted reaction to the release.
  • The latest 3-Year Supply tailed, this was the first tail since Feb 7. The bid/cover ratio and indirect take up both fell in a mildly weak auction.
  • FOMC dated OIS remain stable, a terminal rate of 5.45% is seen in November with ~50bps of cuts by July 2024.
  • There is a thin docket in Asia today, further out the only data of note today is NFIB Small Business Optimism with Wednesday's CPI in view. We also see the latest 10-Year Supply.
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