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NATGAS: TTF Heading for Net Weekly Gain Amid Norway Maintenance

NATGAS

TTF front month is holding just below the high of the week of €39.58/MWh supported by lower Norwegian pipeline supplies during the current seasonal maintenance. 

  • Norwegian pipeline supplies to Europe have fallen to 235.9mcm/d today, according to Bloomberg amid field and processing plant maintenance. Gassco shows capacity reductions of 141mcm/d today and into the weekend before rising to a peak of 237mcm/d on Sept. 2.
  • European LNG sendout was at 239mcm/d on Aug 28 according to Bloomberg compared to an average of 210mcm/d so far in August with LNG demand increasing to cover for missing pipeline supplies.
  • Temperatures in NW Europe remain above normal through the first week of September before drifting back closer to normal during the second week.
  • Gas transit flows via Sudzha are nominated unchanged at 42.4mcm/d today, according to Ukraine’s gas transmission operator.
  • European gas storage injection rates are back below normal as stores rise to 91.98% full on Aug 28 according to GIE compared to the five year average of 84.25%.
  • Algeria gas flow to Italy at Mazara is today at 60.9cm/d, according to Bloomberg.
  • ICE TTF daily aggregate traded futures volume was 286k on Aug 29.
    • TTF OCT 24 up 0% at 38.88€/MWh
    • TTF WIN 24 up 0.9% at 41.38€/MWh
    • TTF SUM 25 unchanged at 39.72€/MWh

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