Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Exit polling from the 6 June election in the Netherlands for the European Parliament shows the centre-left alliance between the environmentalist GreenLeft (GL) and the social democratic Labour Party (PvdA) on course to secure a plurality of Dutch seats, with Ipsos-I&O projecting the parties to take eight seats. This is down from the combined nine won in 2019 when they ran as separate parties (six PvdA, three GL). The right-wing nationalist Party for Freedom (PVV) of Geert Wilders looks to have secured second place, with a projected seven seats, up from just one in the 2019 election.
- The final results will not come through until the evening of Sunday 9 June, when the final polling stations close in Italy - the last EU member state to conclude voting in the EP elections. For the full European Parliament Election Preview from our Political Risk team including a run-down of expected result release timings please see the following PDF:
MNIPOLITICALRISK-EuropeanParliamentElectionPreview.pdf
- A likely strong result for the PVV provides a boost to the far-right nationalist Identity and Democracy (ID) group in the EP as it seeks to garner a greater share of funding and senior committee positions (which comes with greater seat numbers) as well as potentially push for a right-wing alliance with the ECR group.
- Domestically, it could also bolster Wilders' position as primus inter pares among party leaders in the four-party gov't set to be formed in the coming weeks under incoming PM Dick Schoof.
Chart 1. Netherlands European Parliament Eleciton Results (2019) and 2024 Exit Poll Projection
Source: Ipsos-I&O, MNI
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.