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Non-Oil Import Prices Add To Input Cost Pressures

US DATA
  • Import prices ex petroleum surprisingly increased 0.7% M/M (cons 0.1) in April after a slightly upward revised 0.1% M/M (initial 0.0) in March.
  • The increase pushed above January’s 0.6% M/M for the strongest monthly increase since Dec’22.
  • This acceleration is more in keeping with Tuesday’s surprise jump in PPI ex food & energy inflation to 0.50% M/M vs cons 0.2, in a sign of increased pipeline pressures.
  • Those pressures are yet to be felt in core goods CPI, with core goods ex used cars averaging 0% for the latest three months.
  • As the chart below shows, the latest uplift also goes against the recent improvement in global supply chain pressures.

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