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NORWAY: Q3 RNS More Important Gauge Of Industrial Strength Than IP

NORWAY

Next week’s Regional Network Survey will provide a clearer signal of manufacturing sector’s outlook than the volatile industrial production data. However, the 3m/3m growth rate of the manufacturing IP series appears consistent with recovering sentiment indices.

  • Manufacturing IP (which excludes the extraction industry) rose 2.0% M/M and 6.6% Y/Y. The 3m/3m SA series, which smooths out a little of the monthly volatility, rose 1.7% Y/Y (vs -0.7% in June and a Jan-June average of 0.5%).
  • Statistics Norway’s industrial confidence index and the 3mma of the (also volatile) manufacturing PMI have each recovered through this year.
  • Headline IP (which includes the extraction industry) fell 3.8% M/M, but rose more aggressively on a 3m/3m and Y/Y basis at 5.5% and 10.1% respectively.

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