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NORWAY: Unchanged FX Purchases; Unemployment Rate Ticks Higher

NORWAY

Norges Bank monthly FX purchases remained at an unchanged pace of NOK550mln, while the SA registered unemployment rate rose a tenth to 2.0% after 8 consecutive months at 1.9%.

  • Overall, the labour market is not weakening enough to sway the Norges Bank from its hawkish stance, with inflation and wage data more in focus ahead of the June decision (where rates will almost certainly be left on hold, but an updated rate path projection will be presented).
  • The unemployment rate outcome was in line with the Norges Bank’s March MPR projection. Nonetheless, the gap between the SA registered unemployment rate and the SA LFS rate rose to 2.4pp in April, after the SA LFS measure rose 0.3pp to 4.3%.
  • On FX purchases, MNI’s calculations following the recently revised 2024 budget suggest an average daily pace of around NOK450-500mln for the remainder of this year.
  • NOK saw little reaction to the release (though did move slightly weaker against the EUR and SEK just before 0900BST).

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