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NZD/JPY Continues To Track Higher, China MLF & Aust Wages Later

FOREX

Early G10 FX trends lean towards risk on, with NZD marginally outperforming. The BBDXY is little changed last near 1252.35, close to end NY levels from Wednesday.

  • NZD/USD is around 0.6045/50, +0.10% higher and above the 100-day EMA. The 200-day sits further north at 0.6068. AUD/USD is trailing slightly but still higher, last around 0.6630.
  • The AUD/NZD cross is off to 1.0960, very close to the 20-day EMA. We haven't been able to sustain breaks sub this support level in May to date.
  • The broader backdrop is supportive of risk on flows, with positive equity trend evident for those markets open in Asia Pac at this stage. US yields are up a touch, but gains are less than 1bps at this stage.
  • The Fed's Schmid noted that rates could stay high 'for some time' but the comments don't appear to deviate from the recent narrative given by the Fed, see this link for more details.
  • USD/JPY is a touch higher, back above 156.50, but this remains sub intra-session highs from Tuesday. NZD/JPY is back to 94.65/70, with pre intervention highs at 95.40.
  • Coming up we have the China 1yr MLF decision, no change is expected. Shortly after that the Australian Q1 wage outcome. It is forecast to print at 0.9% q/q and 4.2% y/y.

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