August 23, 2024 13:44 GMT
Off Lows, Tight Ranges, Powell & Bailey Eyed
GILTS
Gilts away from lows ahead of addresses from Fed Chair Powell & BoE Governor Bailey, moves in broader core global FI markets continue to dictate.
- Futures +10 at 99.58. Initial support and resistance (99.20/100.80) untouched, contract in a narrow 23-tick range.
- Roll activity continues to boost futures volume.
- Yields little changed to 2bp lower, curve flatter.
- SONIA futures -1.5 to +0.5.
- BoE-dated OIS shows ~38bp of cuts through Dec vs. ~39bp late yesterday.
BoE Meeting | SONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%) | Difference Vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp) |
Sep-24 | 4.904 | -4.6 |
Nov-24 | 4.693 | -25.7 |
Dec-24 | 4.568 | -38.2 |
Feb-25 | 4.381 | -56.9 |
Mar-25 | 4.243 | -70.7 |
May-25 | 4.088 | -86.2 |
Jun-25 | 3.997 | -95.3 |
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