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Oil End of Day Summary: Crude Loses Ground

OIL

WTI is headed for US close trading lower again today, as a continued bearish demand outlook and expectations of additional OPEC+ supplies returning from Q4 add pressure.

  • WTI JUL 24 down 1% at 73.46$/bbl
  • The API US oil inventory data is due at 16:30ET.
  • April's US JOLTS report showed the lowest number of job openings since February 2021, at 8.059m vs 8.355m in March.
  • OPEC “will hit the kill switch on a Q4 increase in the event of an oversupply/poor sentiment situation come September,” RBC’s Helima Croft said.
  • OPEC oil output rose in May, according to a Reuters survey, driven by higher exports from Nigeria and Iraq which offset voluntary cuts.
  • Iraq’s crude exports rose for a second month in May, despite pledges to compensate for overproduction beyond its OPEC+ targets.
  • The Greek Navy resumed drills off its coast, allowing it to block Russia’s ability to use the area for STS transfers: Bloomberg.
  • Russia’s four-week average crude exports in the period to June 2 declined for a fourth consecutive week: Bloomberg.
  • Russian crude exports fell 10% to a six-month low of 3.52m b/d in May, according to Platts.
  • Oil exports from Western Canada rose in May to average 76.8k b/d in May amid the TMX start up.
  • The US DOE yesterday announced contracts for the purchase of 3mbbl of crude oil for the SPR for November delivery.
  • Nigerian crude loadings for July have been relatively slow so far according to Reuters sources as an overhang of June cargoes weigh on prices.
  • Nigeria is scheduled to load 190k b/d of Bonny Light crude in July, the highest since March, according to Bloomberg.
  • The Chevron led Tengizchevroil will undertake further maintenance at its Tengiz oilfield in August, it said on Monday.

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