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OIL OPTIONS: Crude Volatility Skew Narrows as Calls Rally on Middle East Risk

OIL OPTIONS

 The crude call-put option spreads have bounced from the bearish levels seen last week as call vols have surged amid heightened Middle East risks and expectation of further US stocks draws in EIA data due today.  

  • The market also remains uncertain whether OPEC will maintain current plans to return some supply from October despite Reuters sources suggesting the JMMC panel is unlikely to make any policy changes at the meeting on Aug 1.
  • The second month Brent 25 delta call-put skew has closed from around -3% on July 26 back towards parity at -0.35% today. The WTI put skew has narrowed from -3.95% to -1.15% in the same period.
  • The Brent and WTI Dec24 call-put skews are also less bearish despite ongoing concerns for global demand growth, especially in China. The Brent Dec24 skew has narrowed to the least bearish since April at -1.5% today and WTI is back towards levels from early July at -2.9%.
    • Brent OCT 24 up 2.8% at 80.26$/bbl
    • WTI SEP 24 up 3.1% at 77.04$/bbl

 

 

Source: Bloomberg

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