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Free AccessOn tap for Wednesday: Non-farm......>
US DATA PREVIEW: On tap for Wednesday: Non-farm productivity (p) (1.5% est) and
unit labor costs (p) (1.8% est) for Q4; trade balance for November (-$54.7B
est); $27B 10Y note auction.
- Morgan Stanley economists estimate that "productivity grew at a 1.7%Q
annualized rate in the fourth quarter. For unit labor costs, we forecast growth
of 1.6% (Q/Q annualized) after a 0.9% gain in 3Q." MS reminds the BLS's report
"will be incomplete due to the delayed 4Q GDP data."
- On trade balance, Nomura economists said "goods import and export activities
likely slowed in November based on shipping container data at major US ports.
However, the container data suggest that while goods imports rebounded sharply
in December, exports recovered only modestly. On net, a sharp widening of goods
trade gap in December could offset some of the narrowing in November. It appears
likely that net exports will continue to remain as a drag on real GDP growth
during Q4."
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.