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OPEC Market Share Strategy Looks Unlikely: Platts

OIL

In the short term and unwinding in OPEC cuts and rising supply is unlikely to significantly push shale production down. Thus, things look more bearish for prices, Platts said.

  • “In 2014, OPEC went for a market share strategy to try and knock out shale, which didn’t work. With shale seeming resilient to lower prices and drillers boosting efficiency, its hard to see a scenario where OPEC can go after market share and oil prices will decline significantly,” Platts said in its Oil Markets Podcast.
  • Furthermore, it is not just the US, but Canada, Guyana, and even OPEC members such as Iran and Venezuela that are all trying to boost output, creating further challenges for a market share strategy.
  • Thus, it seems inevitable that there will be excess supply in the market despite the fact that OPEC+ will ramp up production and may squeeze some producers out.

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