September 01, 2023 10:44 GMT
Payrolls Seen Slowing to +170k
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Two hours out from the August NFP release, MNI Preview here: https://roar-assets-auto.rbl.ms/files/55566/USNFPS...
- Consensus sees payrolls growth of 170k with perhaps a little under 20k as a temporary drag from the actors’ strike June, along with a potential seasonal bias lower.
- The strike is seen unlikely to have a material impact on AHE, forecast at 0.3% M/M after July’s surprise strength, or average hours worked, seen holding at pre-pandemic lows.
- It could help push the u/e rate higher though, with analysts skewed higher than consensus for no change.
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