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Personal Savings Ratio Just Off All-Time Low

US DATA
  • Nominal personal income growth beat expectations with +0.7% M/M (cons 0.4%) – and with a similar underlying pattern for disposable incomes – for the highest nominal increase since Oct’21.
  • Despite this, personal spending also accelerating as expected from 0.6 to 0.8% M/M meant that the personal savings ratio ticked down further to 2.3% after downward revising flagged in yesterday’s Q3 GDP release.
  • It leaves the savings ratio running just 0.2pts higher than the all-time low from Jul-05 in a series starting 1959 (albeit a series prone to large revisions), quickly running down the pace of excess savings built up over the pandemic.

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