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Philly Non-Mfg Prices Received Offer A More Measured Trend

US DATA
  • The Philly Fed’s non-manufacturing index saw a sharp decline in July, falling from 2.9 to -19.1 for its lowest since Dec’20.
  • Notably, it didn’t reflect the second strong increase seen for prices received in the latest manufacturing survey: “Price indicator readings suggest continued increases in input prices and prices for the firms’ own goods and services this month. Both price indexes were near their long-run averages.”
  • Softer employment: “The full-time employment index fell 20 points to -4.9 this month, its first negative reading since June 2023. […] The part-time employment index declined from 13.1 to 4.0.”
  • Modestly smaller expected wage increases in special question: “Although the firms now expect somewhat lower increases in costs for wages, intermediate goods, and nonhealth benefits than when asked in April, expectations for increases in total compensation (wages plus benefits) costs remained at a median of 4 to 5 percent.”

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