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Post Factory Orders, ISM Services React

US TSYS
  • Treasury futures scale back from early session highs after ISM Services Index came out near expectations (53.6 vs. 53.5 est, 54.5 prior). Factory Orders, on the other hand came out stronger than expected: +1.2% vs. 0.3% est, from -2.1% prior, Ex Trans (+1.4% vs. 0.2% est).
  • Current TYZ3 at 106-22.5 (+2) vs. 107-02.5 high, yield at 4.7768% (-.0187) after marking 4.7246% low recently. Curves mixed: 3M10Y -1.417 at -73.326, 2Y10Y +1.268 at -34.624.
  • Given this morning's bounce off cycle lows, continued reversal from here puts technical support focus at 106-00 (Round number support) followed by 105-27+ (3.0% Lower Bollinger Band).
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  • Treasury futures scale back from early session highs after ISM Services Index came out near expectations (53.6 vs. 53.5 est, 54.5 prior). Factory Orders, on the other hand came out stronger than expected: +1.2% vs. 0.3% est, from -2.1% prior, Ex Trans (+1.4% vs. 0.2% est).
  • Current TYZ3 at 106-22.5 (+2) vs. 107-02.5 high, yield at 4.7768% (-.0187) after marking 4.7246% low recently. Curves mixed: 3M10Y -1.417 at -73.326, 2Y10Y +1.268 at -34.624.
  • Given this morning's bounce off cycle lows, continued reversal from here puts technical support focus at 106-00 (Round number support) followed by 105-27+ (3.0% Lower Bollinger Band).