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Free Access###POV: DOWNSIDE RISKS FOR NZDUSD AHEAD OF.....>
KIWI: ###POV: DOWNSIDE RISKS FOR NZDUSD AHEAD OF CPI DATA
- Having failed to break the 0.7400 area, geopolitical and domestic factors are
starting to weigh ahead of the NZ CPI release.
- Seasonal changes are expected to show a sharp fall in International airfares
(usually 10% q/q) which would make a 0.2% contribution, reversing the trend from
December.
- A number of banks have put out trade recommendations to short the NZD against
a basket of currencies.
- Soft China equities and mixed data release of late have started to point
toward a slowdown in growth which could further pressure the NZD.
- The IMF said that current monetary policy is appropriately expansionary and
warned of downside risks to NZ growth over the medium-term.
- NZDUSD has touched pullback lows of 0.7311 with next support seen at 0.7285/75
(50-dma, 50% $0.7154-0.7395).
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.