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Powell Said Wages "Very Important Part Of The Story" For Rates

US

Further to our earlier note on November's wage growth (+5.1% Y/Y) being well above what is consistent with the Fed's 2% PCE target, this is what Fed Chair Powell said about wage increases in Wednesday's Brookings Q&A - referring to the "third category" of core PCE the FOMC is looking at in terms of inflation pressures (the others being core goods prices and shelter).

  • At the time, average hourly earnings had been thought to have dipped to a 10-month low of 4.7% Y/Y in Oct (rev up to 4.9%).
  • Expect him to be asked at the December FOMC press conference about this re-acceleration, and what it implies for the policy outlook.

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