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POWER: German Day Ahead Soars Above €110/MWh on Lower Wind, Firm Demand

POWER

The German and French day-ahead rose owing to support from lower wind on the day, with Germany leading gains amid firm demand on the day, while higher nuclear in France kept gains limited.

  • The German day-ahead spot settled at €112.34/MWh from €80.94/MWh in the previous day.
  • The French day-ahead spot cleared at €67.89/MWh from €54.60/MWh in the previous day.
  • German wind output is expected at 6.81-12.12GW, or load factors of 11-19% over 12-13 September down from the 30% load factor forecast for today, according to Spot Renewables. But wind will then increase to a 27% load factor on 14 Sept (Sat) – which could open the door for negative power prices for some hours.
  • The latest 6-10 days ECMWF for Berlin suggest average temperatures being below the 30-year norm up until 16 September – reaching as low as 12.3C on 13 September. Temperatures will then flip above 17-20 Sept.
  • German power demand is forecast at around 56.2GW on 12 on Thursday, in line with demand today, with consumption expected to fall to 55.5GW on 13 September.
  • In contrast, French wind output is forecast at 4.14GW, or 21% load factor on Thursday, down from 6.40GW forecast for today, with wind remaining stable at 4.25GW the next day.
  • Nuclear availability in France stood at 68% of capacity on Tuesday morning, RTE data showed, cited by Reuters.
  • Planned maintenance at the 1.33GW Flamanville 2 nuclear reactor has been extended by three days until 15 September 23:00 CET, remit data showed.
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The German and French day-ahead rose owing to support from lower wind on the day, with Germany leading gains amid firm demand on the day, while higher nuclear in France kept gains limited.

  • The German day-ahead spot settled at €112.34/MWh from €80.94/MWh in the previous day.
  • The French day-ahead spot cleared at €67.89/MWh from €54.60/MWh in the previous day.
  • German wind output is expected at 6.81-12.12GW, or load factors of 11-19% over 12-13 September down from the 30% load factor forecast for today, according to Spot Renewables. But wind will then increase to a 27% load factor on 14 Sept (Sat) – which could open the door for negative power prices for some hours.
  • The latest 6-10 days ECMWF for Berlin suggest average temperatures being below the 30-year norm up until 16 September – reaching as low as 12.3C on 13 September. Temperatures will then flip above 17-20 Sept.
  • German power demand is forecast at around 56.2GW on 12 on Thursday, in line with demand today, with consumption expected to fall to 55.5GW on 13 September.
  • In contrast, French wind output is forecast at 4.14GW, or 21% load factor on Thursday, down from 6.40GW forecast for today, with wind remaining stable at 4.25GW the next day.
  • Nuclear availability in France stood at 68% of capacity on Tuesday morning, RTE data showed, cited by Reuters.
  • Planned maintenance at the 1.33GW Flamanville 2 nuclear reactor has been extended by three days until 15 September 23:00 CET, remit data showed.