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Price Signal Summary - Bear Cycle In Bunds Still In Play

OUTLOOK
  • In the FI space, Bund futures traded lower last week and started this week’s session on a bearish note. The move down Monday undermines a recent bullish theme and signals scope for a deeper retracement. The next support to watch is 130.28, 76.4%% retracement of the May 31 - Jun 14 rally. A break of this level would further strengthen a bearish threat and expose 129.52, the Jun 10 low. On the upside, initial firm resistance is at 132.24, the Jun 28 high. Clearance of this level would highlight a potential reversal.
  • Gilt futures traded sharply lower Monday, confirming an extension of the latest bear cycle. The move down does undermine a recent bullish theme and the sell-off signals scope for a continuation near-term. This has opened 96.25, the 76.4% retracement of the May 29 - Jun 21 bull run, where a break would further strengthen a bearish threat. On the upside, initial firm resistance to watch is at 98.24, last Friday’s high.

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