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Price Signal Summary - GBPUSD Corrective Cycle Remains In Play

OUTLOOK
  • In FX, EURUSD is trading above last Thursday’s low. A bull theme remains intact following recent gains and the breach of a key short-term resistance at 1.0948, Jul 17 high. The move higher confirmed a resumption of the uptrend and opens 1.1012 next, 76.4% of the Dec 28 ‘23 - Apr 16 downleg. Moving average studies are in a bull-mode set-up too, highlighting a rising trend. A pullback would be considered corrective. Initial support to watch lies at 1.0881, the 20-day EMA.
  • GBPUSD is trading higher today and this has resulted in a print above resistance around the 20-day EMA, at 1.2798. A clear break of this average would signal scope for a stronger short-term retracement and open 1.2863 initially, the Aug 1 high. Current gains are considered corrective, a resumption of weakness would refocus attention on the recent Aug low of 1.2665. A break of this level would resume the bear cycle that started Jul 17.
  • USDJPY remains bearish and the recent impulsive sell-off has strengthened the trend condition. The move down signals scope for an extension towards the next key support at 140.25, Dec 28 ‘23 low. Note that the bear cycle remains in an extreme oversold condition, and the latest recovery - a correction - is allowing this set-up to unwind. Initial firm resistance is seen at 150.73, the 20-day EMA. The bear trigger is 141.70, the Aug 5 low.

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