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Price Signal Summary - USDBRL Remains In Downtrend

LATAM FX
  • USDMXN traded lower last week and in the process cleared support at 16.9811, the Jul 5 low. The break confirms a resumption of the primary downtrend and marks a continuation of the bearish price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Having traded as low as 16.7078 on Monday the focus on the downside turns to 16.4472, the 2.00 projection of the Jun 2 - Mar 9 - Mar 20 price swing. Resistance to watch is the 50-day EMA, which intersects at 17.3238. This is a key short-term hurdle for bulls, where a clear break would signal a reversal.
  • USDBRL remains in a downtrend and the climb between Jun 22 - Jul 6, appears to be a correction. For bears, the move lower on Jun 9 resulted in a break of 4.8859, the May 15 low and this confirmed a range breakout and a resumption of the medium-term downtrend. A resumption of the bear trend would open 4.7490, the Jun 6 2022 low and 4.6910, the May 30 2022 low. The bear trigger lies at 4.7513, the Jun 22 low. A clear break the 50-day EMA at 5.8915 would signal a potential reversal.
  • USDCLP traded higher last Tuesday and pierced 815.47, the May 25 high. Further strength today suggest there may be scope for a climb towards 825.20, the Apr 10 high, ahead of the key short-term resistance at 837.15, the Mar 17 high. Initial key support has been defined at 794.09, the Jul 4 low.

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