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Price Signal Summary - USDJPY Trend Needle Is Still Pointing North

OUTLOOK
  • In FX , EURUSD initially traded lower Friday, before bouncing sharply into the London close. A continuation higher would signal scope for a climb towards resistance at 1.0977, the Jun 27 high and 1.1012, the Jun 22 high. The latter is the bull trigger - a break would resume the recent bull cycle. On the downside, clearance of last week’s low of 1.0835 would be seen as a bearish development and confirm a break of the 50-day EMA, at 1.0855.
  • A bearish corrective cycle in GBPUSD has recovered from 1.2591, the Jun 29 low. Friday’s price action could be an early reversal signal that suggests the recent corrective pullback is over. A move above resistance at 1.2760, the Jun 27 high, would be a positive development. For bears, a resumption of weakness and a break of 1.2591 would resume the recent downtrend and expose the 50-day EMA at 1.2551 and trendline support at 1.2542 - drawn from the Mar 8 low.
  • USDJPY maintains a bullish tone and is holding on to the bulk of its recent gains. Last week’s extension confirmed a resumption of the uptrend. The focus is on 145.66, a 1.50 projection of the Jan 16 - Mar 8 - Mar 24 price swing and 146.19, resistance at the 2.0% 10-dma envelope. USDJPY remains the most overbought (as per the 14-day RSI) since mid-October. Key short-term support is at 141.99, the former bull channel top drawn from the Jan 16 high. A break would signal scope for a deeper correction. USDJPY is the most overbought (as per the 14-day RSI) since mid-October. Key short-term support is at 141.84 the 20-day EMA. A break would signal scope for a deeper correction.

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