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Rates Remain in Bear Mode as CPI Approaches, 10Y Eyes 61.8% Fibonacci Level

RUSSIA
  • Local & USD rates remains under pressure at the outset today with both curves trading +2-4bp higher at the start of play.
  • Selling pressure remained high in yesterday's session with the OFZ curve ending +5-10bp higher across the breadth with 7-10Y yields still the most offered. 10Y yields have now pressed past the 7.50 mark and are en route to the 61.8% fib of the 07/09/18 – 18/05/20 range if the inflation picture does not change for the better.
  • CPI will be in focus today, expected to tick higher before eventually moderating in November.
  • However, given the wide inaccuracy of CPI projections in Russia – markets will likely be cautious of calling a peak too early, despite much cheaper valuations.

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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