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RBA Dated OIS Prices A 59% Chance Of A Hike In August

STIR

RBA-dated OIS pricing is 1-2bp softer today after it closed yesterday 7-8bp softer across meetings following the RBA’s decision to leaved the cash rate unchanged at 4.10%.

  • The market currently attaches a 59% chance of a 25bp hike at the August meeting, which follows the release of Q2 CPI data on July 26.
  • Terminal rate expectations sit at 4.49% versus 4.60% pre-RBA decision.
Figure 1: RBA-Dated OIS – Today Vs. Pre-RBA

Source: Bloomberg / MNI - Market News

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