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REAL ESTATE: Logicor (LOGICR: BBB): 5yr Fair Value

REAL ESTATE
  • We see FV ms+158
  • Logicor issued 4.5yr at ms+200 in January.
  • They are returning with a 5yr today.
  • IPT: EUR 500m ms+190
  • The 4.5yr is now a 4yr trading at ms+143
  • Curve should be about 12bps /yr but...
  • CTPNV 4.625 30 is trading cheap (z+145) and this is LOGICR's second visit to the market so we will push it out a little bit.
  • Majority Chinese ownership with Blackstone minority.
  • Logicor is a very stable credit with LTV 48.9%, 94.3% Occupancy, €15.3b Gross Asset Value, €7.2b Net (much larger than VGPBB which I included just as a guide to value)
  • CTPNV is rated lower at Baa3/BBB-.  Logicor trades wider.
  • UOP: Tendering 2025 bonds so no net issuance of debt.

 

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