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REPEAT: Fed Speak: Comments From FOMC Members on Rates, Infl
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 18:41 GMT Sep 14/14:41 EST Sep 14
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following is a summary of significant policy
comments from members of the Federal Reserve's policymaking Federal Open Market
Committee since their last meeting July 25-26.
NOTE: * denotes member is an FOMC voter in 2017. ** denotes comment made
exclusively to MNI.
INTEREST RATES
William Dudley (New York*): "I think it's too soon to judge exactly the
timing of when the next rate hike might occur. But I think the path is still
clear that short-term rates are going to move gradually higher over time."
(Sept. 8)
Esther George (Kansas City): "It is time to continue to move that interest
rate higher. It is not an attempt to tighten or slow down the economy." (Sept.
7)
Loretta Mester (Cleveland): "I am comfortable raising rates again this
year," and "if the economy keeps evolving the way I anticipate it wouldn't be a
surprise." (Sept. 7)
Lael Brainard (Governor*): If inflation evolves as "many forecasters
assume," if the current shortfall from the 2% proves transitory, "further
gradual increases in the federal funds rate would be warranted, perhaps along
the lines of the median projection from the most recent SEP." (Sept. 5)
Neel Kashkari (Minneapolis*): "Until we see inflation start climbing back
towards target, we might as well bring as many people back to the job market as
possible" by leaving interest rates where they are. (Sept. 5)
Jerome Powell (Governor*): "You would have expected given that we're
getting tighter labor markets that we'd have a little higher inflation. I think
that what that gives us is the ability to be patient." (Aug. 25)
Robert Kaplan (Dallas*): "I'm not saying I won't be in favor of raising
rates before the end of the year. I think we have the ability to be patient, and
I want to see more information that suggests we're making progress toward
meeting our 2% inflation objective." (Aug. 25)
Charles Evans (Chicago*): "As long as it's still a reasonable proposition
that the inflation outlook is headed back for 2% -- I still think that's the
case -- then I think we can continue to follow through on our gradual policy
adjustment process. I think that's completely reasonable." (Aug. 9)
James Bullard (St. Louis**): "Given the inflation outlook, which has
deteriorated in 2017, I would not support further moves in the near term." (Aug.
2)
John Williams (San Francisco): "Maybe one more increase this year,
something like three increases next year is appropriate given that our labor
market is as strong as it is, given I expect inflation to be moving back to 2%."
(Aug. 2)
Eric Rosengren (Boston): "As long as the labor markets are continuing to
tighten, I think we should be removing accommodation slowly. And I think we've
been fortunate that inflation numbers have been low enough that we could remove
the accommodation slowly." (Aug. 2)
INFLATION
Dudley (New York*): "With inflation below our 2% objective, I think it
allows us to be a little more patient." (Sept. 8)
George (Kansas City): "Low inflation is actually helpful in many respects
to consumers it adds to purchasing power." (Sept. 7)
Mester (Cleveland): "My projection is still that inflation is going to rise
to 2% gradually over time, and in that case, I think this gradual path that
we've been talking about for quite a long time is the appropriate path." (Sept.
7)
Brainard (Governor*): "The recent low readings for inflation may be driven
by depressed underlying inflation, which would imply a more persistent shortfall
in inflation from our objective. In that case, it would be prudent to raise the
federal funds rate more gradually." (Sept. 5)
Kashkari (Minneapolis*): "We at the Fed may have allowed inflation
expectations to drift lower" by treating the inflation target as a ceiling.
(Sept. 5)
Powell (Governor*): "Inflation is a little bit below target, and it's kind
of a mystery." (Aug. 25)
Kaplan (Dallas*): "We're obviously not meeting our inflation target." (Aug.
25)
Fischer (Governor*): "This continuation of lower than expected inflation
rates is something we have to think about." (Aug. 16)
Evans (Chicago*): "I think the inflation data has been sufficiently
unusual" that the factors weighing on inflation "would be expected to be one off
and temporary and recede." (Aug. 9)
Williams (San Francisco): I'm "getting a little frustrated with inflation
refusing to come up to 2% as quickly as hoped. Still I think underlying
inflation trends are positive." (Aug. 2)
Bullard (St. Louis**): "Expected inflation measures have deteriorated
during the first half of 2017 broadly speaking, and since that's a primary
determinant of actual inflation, it would not bode well for whether we can hit
the inflation target this year or further in the future." (Aug. 2)
Rosengren (Boston): "There have definitely been a number of factors over
the last six months that have resulted in softer inflation numbers. Some of them
are idiosyncratic. ... But there are also some longer-run trends that I actually
think over time are going to push the inflation back up to 2%, and those
longer-run trends are basically that we're seeing a tightening in the labor
market." (Aug. 2)
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: jean.yung@marketnews.com
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.